The projection assumes that until 2023, Slovenia will remain in deficit, which will deepen from 0.1% of GDP next year to 0.5% of GDP at the end of the period.
The projection is more pessimistic than forecasts by the Slovenian Statistics Office, which assumes the deficit will hit 0.4% this year and widen in the coming years.
There is also a significant difference between the two institutions for 2017: the IMF says Slovenia recorded a 0.8% deficit, while Statistics Office data in fact show a 0.1% surplus.
At the same time, the IMF projects that Slovenia will continue posting a high primary surplus - surplus before debt payments - which is to hit 2% this year before tailing off to 1.4% in 2023.
Gross debt is also expected to drop, from almost 70% of GDP this year to 61.4% in 2023.